Title Time Series Forecasting by Recommendation: An Empirical Analysis on Amazon Marketplace
Authors GÓMEZ LOSADA, ALVARO, Duch-Brown, Nestor
External publication Si
Means Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing
Scope Proceedings Paper
Nature Científica
SJR Quartile 3
SJR Impact 0.26
Publication date 01/01/2019
ISI 000490868600004
DOI 10.1007/978-3-030-20485-3_4
Abstract This study proposes a forecasting methodology for univariate time series (TS) using a Recommender System (RS). The RS is built from a given TS as only input data and following an item-based Collaborative Filtering approach. A set of top-N values is recommended for this TS which represent the forecasts. The idea is to emulate RS elements (the users, items and ratings triple) from the TS. Two TS obtained from Italy\'s Amazon webpage were used to evaluate this methodology and very promising performance results were obtained, even the difficult environment chosen to conduct forecasting (short length and unevenly spaced TS). This performance is dependent on the similarity measure used and suffers from the same problems that other RSs (e.g., cold-start). However, this approach does not require high computational power to perform and its intuitive conception allows for being deployed with any programming language.
Keywords Collaborative Filtering; Time series; Forecasting; Data science
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